| % Chance |
Num. of Times Observed |
Num. of Times this % Forecasted |
Forecaster's % |
| 0 |
222 |
3609 |
6 |
| 5 |
11 |
80 |
14 |
| 10 |
67 |
374 |
18 |
| 15 |
8 |
50 |
16 |
| 20 |
56 |
222 |
25 |
| 25 |
64 |
242 |
26 |
| 30 |
24 |
99 |
24 |
| 35 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 40 |
43 |
180 |
24 |
| 45 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 50 |
106 |
289 |
37 |
| 55 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
| 60 |
130 |
284 |
46 |
| 65 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 70 |
15 |
28 |
54 |
| 75 |
228 |
406 |
56 |
| 80 |
53 |
80 |
66 |
| 85 |
3 |
3 |
100 |
| 90 |
211 |
291 |
73 |
| 95 |
49 |
70 |
70 |
| 100 |
8 |
9 |
89 |
|
|
Observed |
Not Observed |
| Forecasted |
8 (H) |
1 (F) |
| Not Forecasted |
222 (M) |
3387 (Z) |
|
| Skill Stats |
| Proportion of Perfect FCSTS (PPF) | 0.94 |
| Probability of Detection (POD) | 0.03 |
| False Alarm Rate (FAR) | 000 |
| Frequency Bias Index (FBI) | 0.04 |
|
| PPF = (H+Z)/(H+F+M+Z) | | FAR = F/(F+Z) |
| FBI = (H+F)/(H+M) | | POD = H/(H+M) |
|
|
